Quotations

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Ian Shepherdson Quotes

«Clearly, these headlines will assuage some of the fears of a consumer collapse, and they mean the Fed will wait till the meeting before easing again. We still look for at least a 25-basis-point easing on Jan. 31.»
«The renewed strength in home sales reflects lower mortgage rates; we expect rates to dip to a 14-month low this week. The housing rebound will ensure construction sector strength in the first quarter of 2001. No recession here.»
«Things will likely get worse before they get better.»
«The drop in stock prices is no excuse to beginning cutting rates, as some in the market desperately want to believe, ... Given where oil prices are and given what the fundamentals still suggest, I don't see the Fed doing anything for the time being.»
«The data confirm that the labor market is still not generating the sort of cost pressures many analysts expected with 4 percent unemployment.»
«The housing market is clearly on a roll again, despite the -- probably temporary -- dip in confidence.»
«Clearly, there is no near-term inflation threat coming from the labor market. In short, great numbers, which will prompt yet more talk of miracles.»
«My guess is that is that at the moment these numbers seem to be supporting the slow down story, ... But the market is pretty much ignoring it and moving on.»
«We think there is a good chance that home sales recover, or at worst stabilize, over the next few months. The starts data are potentially seriously misleading.»
«We think Mr. Greenspan is willing to give the data a chance; it will take bad data to force an August rate hike,»

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